Sourcing Trip ROI Calculator

Is that thrift run or estate sale worth the drive? Calculate your break-even number of finds and know if a trip will be profitable before you burn the gas.

Break-even findsTrip comparisonTime + gas costsHit rate modeling

The True Cost of Sourcing

Gas adds up. At $0.50/mile, a 40-mile round trip costs $20 before you find anything.
Time is money. 3 hours sourcing at $20/hr value = $60 opportunity cost.
Not every trip hits. Factor in dud trips when calculating expected returns.

Sourcing Strategy

Batch Your Trips: One trip hitting 5 stores beats 5 separate trips to 1 store each. Fixed costs (gas, setup time) get amortized across more potential finds.

Know Your Stores: Track which stores consistently yield finds. A 70% hit rate store is worth driving past a 30% store even if it's farther. Data beats intuition.

Compare to Death Pile: Before any sourcing trip, ask: "Could I make more money listing items I already own?" Sometimes staying home and listing is higher ROI than finding new inventory.

Common Questions

How do I calculate if a sourcing trip is worth it?

Add up all costs: gas (distance × cost/mile), time (hours × your hourly value), and any fees. Then calculate expected profit (finds × profit/find × hit rate). If expected profit > costs, the trip is worth it. This calculator does the math for you.

What's a realistic "hit rate" for sourcing trips?

Hit rate varies by store type and your experience. Goodwill: 60-80% of trips find something worthwhile. Estate sales: 70-90% but higher variance. Garage sales: 30-50% hit rate. Retail clearance: 40-60%. Track your own data to refine.

Should I count my time when calculating sourcing ROI?

Absolutely. If a 3-hour trip yields $30 profit but you value your time at $20/hour, you effectively "paid" $60 in time for $30 in profit—a net loss. Your time has value even if you enjoy the hunt.

How many finds do I need per trip to break even?

It depends on your costs and profit per item. A 30-mile round trip ($15-20 in vehicle costs) taking 3 hours ($60 at $20/hr) = ~$75-80 cost. At $15 profit per find, you need 5-6 good items just to break even.

Related Tools

Sourcing outcomes vary significantly by location, season, competition, and luck. Track your actual results over time to refine hit rate and profit-per-find assumptions.